A Republican-sponsored poll shows good news for Rep. Nan Hayworth, one of the vulnerable GOP incumbents running in a more Democratic district this election cycle.

The survey from The Tarrance Group found that Hayworth holds a 9-percentage point lead over her Democratic challenger, Sean Patrick Maloney.

The poll put the race at 51 percent to 42 percent, with seven percent of voters undecided, and has a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.

The conventional wisdom is that Hayworth is running in a more Democratic friendly area this time around, thanks in part to the federal magistrate-drawn lines for House districts.

But Tarrance’s poll found that the district may skew more GOP than thought:

The political environment of the district is also favorable to Hayworth and Republicans. A majority of voters in the district, fifty percent (50%), indicate that they disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing, and Romney has a +3 point lead over President Obama on the trial ballot test for President. In addition, Republicans also have a +4 point lead over the Democrats on the generic ballot for Congress.

Update: The Maloney campaign responds and naturally disagrees with the poll’s results.

“Congresswoman Hayworth has spent over a million dollars trying to hide her Tea Party voting record—and now her campaign is releasing half of a Republican poll,” said Evangeline George. “The only poll of the district not paid for by a campaign shows that when voters know about Congresswoman Hayworth’s votes to end Medicare and reward millionaires like herself with massive tax breaks, Sean Patrick Maloney wins.”

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